Electronic Roulette Wheel

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We did a little research on the trustworthiness of Electronic Airball roulette wheels (automated rapid roulette). It is interesting to note that it is possible to mix and match roulette parts from different manufacturers. For example, it has been reported, that casinos using the “suspicious” Gammegh RRS roulette wheel mechanism, have.

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Can Roulette Be Rigged?

Gamblers who don't understand the inner workings of a casino sometimes wonder if the games they play are set up fairly. When a casino patron loses against a slot machine, for example, he or she might wonder if the machine was somehow rigged. Authentic roulette eliminates some of this suspicion because it makes use of a physical wheel that is spun by hand. An electronic roulette game could be rigged, however, as Pierre Coulon proved when he used his laptop recently to remotely help a female friend win a jackpot at the Paris Casino in Blackpool, England.

Coulon was the managing director of the Paris Casino at the time of the incident. Upon investigation, officials discovered that the surveillance cameras normally trained upon the facility's electronic roulette game had been moved. Coulon later admitted to manipulating the outcome of the game via laptop so his female friend could win some cash. He cited a dispute with his business partner and co-owner of the casino as the reason why he committed the crime. Prior to this event, Coulon, who spent 40 years working in the gambling industry, had no instances of criminal activity in his personal record.

Of course it can and anyway why gamble on roulette when you are destined to lose anyway. Work out the probability and with a zero and very often a double zero only a dim brain would play for anything other than amusement and to lose money. Parts of the Electronic Device. Before you use this device for playing roulette, you need to know the parts of the device and what they are used for: Clicker – The clicker monitors the speed of both the roulette wheel and roulette ball. The data gathered is sent to the computer, which in turn analyzes the data. This is a picker wheel that spins and picks a random word based on your input. Let's say you're a teacher and all of your students have to hold a presentation today.

Coulon's story serves as a reminder that an electronic casino game can be manipulated to favor the house using today's advanced computer technology. Many people prefer authentic, non-computerized table games like blackjack and roulette for this very reason. Even an old-fashioned table game like roulette, with its hand-spun wheel, can become skewed against the house if the wheel develops irregularities. This phenomenon is known as 'roulette wheel bias.'

About Roulette Wheel Bias

Roulette is a game of chance, but a person's chance of winning or losing can definitely be affected by wheel bias. A biased wheel is one that does not select numbers completely at random. Physical irregularities and normal wear and tear can alter a wheel in a way that causes it to favor certain numbers more than others. This irregularity, if discovered by a casino patron, can boost his or her odds of winning tremendously. For this reason, casinos do everything they can to detect such flaws and prevent customers from taking advantage of an edge in their favor.

Bias Caused by Wheel Manufacturers: Not Likely

Gambling equipment manufacturers are aware of the potential for irregularity and the great harm a defective wheel could ultimately do to a casino's bottom line. For this reason, wheels are manufactured to extremely high standards. A concentrated effort is made to ensure that all wheels are perfectly symmetrical and homogenous in weight and texture. A manufacturer of bum equipment would quickly go out of business, after all. Bias caused by the manufacturers is, therefore, highly unlikely.

Bias Caused by Normal Wear and Tear: Likely

A roulette wheel is spun thousands of times per day; it is only natural that wear and tear would gradually break it down. Sometimes the ball hits the wood with such force it becomes chipped, causing weight to be unevenly distributed. Sometimes 'rotor wobble' develops, in which the wheel gradually becomes crooked due to routine cleanings in which the rotor is removed from the spindle. Sometimes 'pocket defects' occur. In this situation, certain number pockets become slightly enlarged due to repeated force, or the felt between the pockets loosens, causing abnormalities in ball recoil. Any or all of these situations can occur during the lifetime of a roulette wheel, causing bias.

Wheel bias in itself is not harmful, or helpful, to anyone. The phenomenon only becomes harmful to the house when patrons discover it and develop their own personal ways to capitalize upon it. Similarly, wheel bias is only helpful to patrons if they realize it's there and seize the opportunity to profit from it.

Joseph Jagger Rips Off the Beaux-Arts Casino in 1873

Roulette wheel bias is nothing new, nor is the casino patron's desire to capitalize upon it. Almost 150 years ago, a man named Joseph Jagger won 65,000 pounds from Monte Carlo's Beaux-Arts casino through his knowledge of the facility's weakest wheel. Jagger spent time studying all six of the casino's wheels and deduced that one of them favored a grouping of nine adjacent numbers. After a fair amount of suspicious winning, the Beaux-Arts caught on to Jagger's tactics and tried to move the games around the room order to confound him. In the end, however, the gambler's profit was much higher than that of the house.

One Century Later: Gonzalo Garcia-Pelayo Wins Big in Madrid

Electronic Roulette WheelElectronic roulette slot

Over 100 years later, at the Casino de Madrid in the 1990s, Gonzalo Garcia-Pelayo happened upon a defect that won him over a million euros over the course of several days. The casino eventually figured out what Garcia-Pelayo was doing and tried to sue, but the courts ruled in the gambler's favor, saying it was the casino's responsibility to maintain their equipment.

The Dealer Controls the Ball

The outcome of electronic table games can be controlled by computer, as Coulon showed the world in the Blackpool incident. The outcome of authentic games can be capitalized upon by scrutinizing players who have correctly identified an equipment defect. One last question remains: can a roulette dealer, or croupier, purposefully determine where a ball will land?

Debate exists as to whether croupiers can control the outcome of their spins. Anecdotally, some croupiers claim to possess this superior skill. Skeptics are quick to point out, however, that the wheel and its ball are spun in different directions, making it nearly impossible to control the outcome of a spin. It would take an extreme amount of fine motor coordination and muscle memory for a croupier to purposefully dictate this outcome.

For over a century, people have been looking for ways to cheat the roulette wheel and win big money. Whether through electronics or the identification of a physical equipment problem, this goal is occasionally achieved. For those who wonder if casinos sometimes cheat their patrons by rigging machinery, the answer is yes. In the case of roulette wheel bias, it is sometimes the patrons who cheat the casinos.


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Introduction

The Gambler's Fallacy is the mistaken belief that if an independent event has not happened in a long time, then it becomes overdue and more likely. It is also equally incorrect that if an outcome has happened a disproportionate number of times lately, compared to statistical expectations, then it becomes overheated and less likely to occur the next time. An example of this fallacious thinking might be that if the number 23 hasn't been drawn in a 6-49 lottery the last 100 games, then it becomes more likely to be drawn during the next drawing.

Many worthless betting strategies and systems are based on belief in the Gambler's Fallacy. I got the idea for writing about this after reading an 888 online roulette article by Frank Scoblete entitled How to Take Advantage of Roulette Hot Spots. In that article, Scoblete recommends taking a count of each outcome for 3,700 spins in single-zero roulette and 3,800 spins in double-zero roulette in the hunt for 'hot numbers.' Never mind that this would take about 100 hours to make this many observations, assuming the industry standard of 38 spins per hour.

Before going further, let me say that I strongly believe modern roulette wheels made by top brands like Cammegh are extremely precise and any bias would be minuscule compared to the house advantage. Thus, testing a modern roulette for bias would be a total waste of time. Now, testing a 30-year-old hand-me-down wheel in a banana republic might be another story. However, you're on your own if you win a lot of money from said casino and try to leave with it.

That said, if you track 3,800 outcomes in single-zero roulette, the average number of times any number will hit is 3800/38=100. I ran a simulation of over 1.3 trillion spins, counting how many times each number was hit, sorting the outcomes to find the most frequent number and how many times it was observed, and keeping a count of how many times the most frequent number in each simulation was seen.

Hottest Number in 3,800 Spins of Double-Zero Roulette

As a former actuary, I hate to use a layman's term like the 'hottest number,' but that is how gamblers talk so will go with that. That said, following are the results of the count of the hottest number in millions of 3800-spin simulations.

Count of the Hottest Number in 3,800 Spins on Double-Zero Wheel

StatisticValue
Mean 122.02
Median 121
Mode 120
90th Percentile 128
95th Percentile 131
99th Percentile 136
99.9th Percentile 142

Here is what the table above means in plain simple English.

  • The mean, or average, count of the hottest number is 122.02.
  • The median count of the most frequent number is 121. This means that over 50% of time the most frequent number appeared 121 times or less, as well as 121 times or more. This is possible because the probability of 121 observations is in both groups.
  • The mode, or most count of the hottest number is 120, which happens 8.29% of the time.
  • The 90th percentile is the smallest number such that the probability the count of the hottest number is at least 90% .
  • The 95th percentile is the smallest number such that the probability the count of the hottest number is at least 95%.
  • The 99th percentile is the smallest number such that the probability the count of the hottest number is at least 99%.
  • The 99.9th percentile is the smallest number such that the probability the count of the hottest number is at least 99.9%.

Hottest Number in 3,700 Spins of Single-Zero Roulette

The results are very similar with 3,700 spins tracked on a single-zero wheel. Following is a summary of the results.

Count of the Hottest Number in 3,700 Spins on Single-Zero Wheel

StatisticValue
Mean 121.90
Median 121
Mode 120
90th Percentile 128
95th Percentile 131
99th Percentile 136
99.9th Percentile 142

The following table shows the full results of the simulation on both wheels. The two commulative columns show the probability that the count of the hottest number is the number on the left column or more. For example, the probability the hottest number in 3,700 spins of single-zero roulette is 130 or more is 0.072044.

Summary of the Count of the Hottest Number in 3,700 Spins of Single-Zero Roulette and 3,800 spins of Double-Zero Roulette

CountProbability
Single Zero
Cummulative
Single Zero
Probability
Double Zero
Cummulative
Double Zero
160 or More 0.000001 0.000001 0.000001 0.000001
159 0.000000 0.000001 0.000000 0.000001
158 0.000001 0.000001 0.000001 0.000001
157 0.000001 0.000002 0.000001 0.000002
156 0.000001 0.000003 0.000001 0.000003
155 0.000002 0.000005 0.000002 0.000005
154 0.000003 0.000009 0.000003 0.000008
153 0.000005 0.000013 0.000005 0.000013
152 0.000007 0.000020 0.000008 0.000021
151 0.000012 0.000032 0.000012 0.000033
150 0.000017 0.000049 0.000018 0.000051
149 0.000026 0.000075 0.000027 0.000077
148 0.000038 0.000114 0.000041 0.000118
147 0.000060 0.000174 0.000062 0.000180
146 0.000091 0.000265 0.000092 0.000273
145 0.000132 0.000397 0.000137 0.000409
144 0.000195 0.000592 0.000199 0.000608
143 0.000282 0.000874 0.000289 0.000898
142 0.000409 0.001283 0.000421 0.001319
141 0.000580 0.001863 0.000606 0.001925
140 0.000833 0.002696 0.000860 0.002784
139 0.001186 0.003882 0.001215 0.003999
138 0.001652 0.005534 0.001704 0.005703
137 0.002315 0.007849 0.002374 0.008077
136 0.003175 0.011023 0.003286 0.011363
135 0.004355 0.015378 0.004489 0.015852
134 0.005916 0.021295 0.006088 0.021940
133 0.007939 0.029233 0.008196 0.030136
132 0.010601 0.039834 0.010908 0.041044
131 0.013991 0.053824 0.014384 0.055428
130 0.018220 0.072044 0.018757 0.074185
129 0.023498 0.095542 0.024114 0.098299
128 0.029866 0.125408 0.030603 0.128901
127 0.037288 0.162696 0.038228 0.167130
126 0.045771 0.208467 0.046898 0.214027
125 0.055165 0.263632 0.056310 0.270337
124 0.064853 0.328485 0.066020 0.336357
123 0.074178 0.402662 0.075236 0.411593
122 0.081929 0.484591 0.082885 0.494479
121 0.087158 0.571750 0.087696 0.582174
120 0.088520 0.660269 0.088559 0.670734
119 0.084982 0.745252 0.084406 0.755140
118 0.076454 0.821705 0.075245 0.830385
117 0.063606 0.885312 0.061851 0.892236
116 0.048069 0.933381 0.046111 0.938347
115 0.032432 0.965813 0.030604 0.968952
114 0.019117 0.984930 0.017664 0.986616
113 0.009567 0.994496 0.008614 0.995230
112 0.003894 0.998390 0.003420 0.998650
111 0.001257 0.999647 0.001065 0.999715
110 0.000297 0.999944 0.000243 0.999958
109 0.000050 0.999994 0.000038 0.999996
108 or Less 0.000006 1.000000 0.000004 1.000000

Count of the Hottest Numbers in 300 Spins in Double-Zero Roulette

What if you don't want to spend 100 hours gathering data on a single wheel? Some casinos are kind enough to give you, on a silver platter, the number of times in the last 300 spins the four 'hottest' and 'coolest' numbers occurred. The image at the top of the page shows an example taken on a double-zero wheel at the Venetian.

In 300 spins, the average number of wins on a double-zero wheel for any number is 300/38=7.9. As you can see from the image above, the four hottest numbers were 20, 5, 29, and 2, which occurred 15, 14, 13, and 12 times respectively. Is this unusual? No. In a simulation of over 80 billion spins, the most frequent number, in 300-spin experiments, appeared most frequently at 14 times with a probability of 27.4%. The most likely total of the second, third, and fourth most frequent numbers was 13, 12, and 12 times respectively, with probabilities of 37.9%, 46.5%, and 45.8%. So the results of the 'hottest' numbers in the image above were a little more flat than average.

The following table shows the probabilities of the four hottest numbers in 300 spins of double-zero roulette. For example, the probability the third most frequent number happens 15 times is 0.009210.

Count of the Hottest Four Numbers in 300 Spins on a Double-Zero Wheel

ObservationsProbability
Most Frequent
Probability Second
Most Frequent
Probability Third
Most Frequent
Probability Fourth
Most Frequent
25 or More 0.000022 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000
24 0.000051 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000
23 0.000166 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000
22 0.000509 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000
21 0.001494 0.000001 0.000000 0.000000
20 0.004120 0.000009 0.000000 0.000000
19 0.010806 0.000075 0.000000 0.000000
18 0.026599 0.000532 0.000003 0.000000
17 0.060526 0.003263 0.000060 0.000001
16 0.123564 0.016988 0.000852 0.000020
15 0.212699 0.071262 0.009210 0.000598
14 0.274118 0.215025 0.068242 0.011476
13 0.212781 0.379097 0.283768 0.117786
12 0.067913 0.270747 0.464748 0.457655
11 0.004615 0.042552 0.168285 0.383900
10 0.000017 0.000448 0.004830 0.028544
9 0.000000 0.000000 0.000001 0.000020
Total 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000

The next table shows the mean, median, and mode for the count of the first, second, third, and fourth hottest numbers in millions of 300-spin simulations of double-zero roulette.

Electronic roulette table

Summary of the Count of the Four Most Frequent Numbers in 300 Spins of Double-Zero Wheel

OrderMeanMedianMode
First 14.48 14 14
Second 13.07 13 13
Third 12.27 12 12
Fourth 11.70 12 12

Count of the Coolest Numbers in 300 Spins in Double-Zero Roulette

The next table shows the probability of each count of the four collest numbers in 300 spins of double-zero roulette.

Count of the Coolest Four Numbers in 300 Spins on a Double-Zero Wheel

Roulette Wheel Strategy

ObservationsProbability Least
Frequent
Probability Second
Least Frequent
Probability Third
Least Frequent
Probability Fourth
Least Frequent
0 0.012679 0.000063 0.000000 0.000000
1 0.098030 0.005175 0.000135 0.000002
2 0.315884 0.088509 0.012041 0.001006
3 0.416254 0.420491 0.205303 0.063065
4 0.150220 0.432638 0.595139 0.522489
5 0.006924 0.052945 0.185505 0.401903
6 0.000008 0.000180 0.001878 0.011534
Total 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000

The next table shows the mean, median, and mode for the count of the first, second, third, and fourth coolest numbers in the 300-spin simulations of double-zero roulette.

Summary of the count of the Four Least Frequent Numbers on a Double-Zero Wheel

Electronic Roulette Wheel
OrderMeanMedianMode
Least 2.61 3 3
Second Least 3.44 3 4
Third Least 3.96 4 4
Fourth Least 4.36 4 4

Count of the Hottest Numbers in 300 Spins of Single-Zero Roulette

In 300 spins, the average number of wins on a single-zero wheel for any number is 300/37=8.11. The next table shows the probability of each count of the four coolest numbers in 300 spins of double-zero roulette. For example, the probability the third most frequent number happens 15 times is 0.015727.

Count of the Hottest Four Numbers in 300 Spins on a Single-Zero Wheel

ObservationsProbability
Most Frequent
Probability Second
Most Frequent
Probability Third
Most Frequent
Probability Fourth
Most Frequent
25 or More 0.000034 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000
24 0.000078 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000
23 0.000245 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000
22 0.000728 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000
21 0.002069 0.000002 0.000000 0.000000
20 0.005570 0.000018 0.000000 0.000000
19 0.014191 0.000135 0.000000 0.000000
18 0.033833 0.000905 0.000008 0.000000
17 0.074235 0.005202 0.000125 0.000001
16 0.144490 0.025286 0.001624 0.000050
15 0.232429 0.097046 0.015727 0.001286
14 0.269735 0.259360 0.101259 0.021054
13 0.177216 0.382432 0.347102 0.175177
12 0.043266 0.208137 0.429715 0.508292
11 0.001879 0.021373 0.102979 0.283088
10 0.000003 0.000103 0.001461 0.011049
9 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000002
Total 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000

The next table shows the mean, median, and mode for the count of the first, second, third, and fourth hottest numbers in millions of 300-spin simulations of double-zero roulette.

Summary — Count of the Four Hottest Numbers — Double-Zero Wheel

OrderMeanMedianMode
First 14.74 15 14
Second 13.30 13 13
Third 12.50 12 12
Fourth 11.92 12 12

Count of the Coolest Numbers in 300 Spins in Single-Zero Roulette

The next table shows the probability of each count of the four coolest numbers in 300 spins of double-zero roulette. For example, the probability the third coolest numbers will be observed five times is 0.287435.

Count of the Coolest Four Numbers in 300 Spins on a Double-Zero Wheel

ObservationsProbability Least
Frequent
Probability Second
Least Frequent
Probability Third
Least Frequent
Probability Fourth
Least Frequent
0 0.009926 0.000038 0.000000 0.000000
1 0.079654 0.003324 0.000068 0.000001
2 0.275226 0.062392 0.006791 0.000448
3 0.419384 0.350408 0.140173 0.034850
4 0.200196 0.484357 0.557907 0.406702
5 0.015563 0.098547 0.287435 0.521238
6 0.000050 0.000933 0.007626 0.036748
7 0.000000 0.000000 0.000001 0.000013
Total 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000 1.000000

The next table shows the mean, median, and mode for the count of the first, second, third, and fourth coolest numbers in the 300-spin simulations of single-zero roulette.

Summary of the count of the Four Least Frequent Numbers on a Single-Zero Wheel

OrderMeanMedianMode
Least 2.77 3 3
Second Least 3.62 4 4
Third Least 4.15 4 4
Fourth Least 4.56 5 5

The least I hope you have learned from this article is it is to be expected that certain numbers will come up more than others. To put it in other words, it is natural that some numbers will be 'hot' and some 'cool.' In fact, such differences from the mean are highly predictable. Unfortunately, for roulette players, we don't know which numbers will be 'hot,' just that some of them almost certainly will be. I would also like to emphasize, contrary to the Gambler's Fallacy, that on a fair roulette wheel that every number is equally likely every spin and it makes no difference what has happened in the past.

Finally, it should not be interpreted that we give an endorsement to the 888 Casino, which we linked to earlier. I am very bothered by this rule in their rule 6.2.B. Before getting to that, let me preface with a quote from rule 6.1, which I'm fine with.

'If we reasonably determine that you are engaging in or have engaged in fraudulent or unlawful activity or conducted any prohibited transaction (including money laundering) under the laws of any jurisdiction that applies to you (examples of which are set out at section 6.2 below), any such act will be considered as a material breach of this User Agreement by you. In such case we may close your account and terminate the User Agreement in accordance with section 14 below and we are under no obligation to refund to you any deposits, winnings or funds in your account.' -- Rule 6.1

Electronic Roulette Wheel

Let's go further now:

The following are some examples of 'fraudulent or unlawful activity' -- Rule 6.2

Electronic Roulette Wheel Kit

Next, here is one of many examples listed as rule 6.2.B

Automated Roulette Wheel

'Unfair Betting Techniques: Utilising any recognised betting techniques to circumvent the standard house edge in our games, which includes but is not limited to martingale betting strategies, card counting as well as low risk betting in roulette such as betting on red/black in equal amounts.' -- Rule 6.2.B

Electronic Roulette Wheel Cheats

Let me make it perfectly clear that all betting systems, including the Martingale, not only can't circumvent the house edge, they can't even dent it. It is very mathematically ignorant on the part of the casino to fear any betting system. Why would any player trust this casino when the casino can seize all their money under the reason that the player was using a betting system? Any form of betting could be called a betting system, including flat betting. Casino 888 normally has a pretty good reputation, so I'm surprised they would lower themselves to this kind of rogue rule.


Written by: Michael Shackleford